
Pastor Leo Ugochukwu is a forex trader, he explains
how one could make money from Forex trading: "Normally, the prices of
foreign currencies are not stable, one makes money from those little
changes, that is, the fluctuations. So, you place your order based on
your projections. For example, you project that maybe the dollar will
fall, for that reason you are going to sell, normally the currencies are
in pairs, the naira and the dollar. When you are buying the dollar, for
example, you are selling the naira to buy the dollar. You sell N149,
for example, you buy a dollar. So, if the dollar is going to rise, what
do you do? If you project that the dollar is going to rise tomorrow, you
can buy the dollar today by selling your naira, and exchanged it for
the dollar, and by tomorrow the dollar goes up, what do you do? You sell
back the dollar and buy the naira."
As if the trading does look more like local Baba
Ijebu gambling, Pastor Ugochukwu said no, "In trading forex there are
two ways of doing it, one, is the technical aspect of it. The second is
the fundamental or news releases. The technical aspect requires you
taking into consideration so many things like history…history is very
important. You look at the currency pairs, for example maybe the pound
and the dollar paired together over a period of five, six, 10 years.
What happened? How did the currencies react over the years. By this time
last year, what was the market position like. Normally, like we say,
history repeats itself. So, when you look at it, you discover that a
particular currency pair develops a kind of trend or pattern over a
period of time. So, based on that you are able to make your analysis and
project what the price is likely going to be. That is the technical
aspect.
"Then the other aspect of it which is the
fundamental, is where we talk about news release. There are what we call
indices, financial or economic indices, like gross domestic product,
unemployment rate, employment changes, so many of them. So, as these
items or releases are being released by governments and other agencies,
it affects the weight of a particular currency. So, when that happens,
you can trade based on that. You can actually focus mainly on
fundamentals. There are people who actually trade purely on
fundamentals."
A very volatile trading business
Ugochukwu also answers questions on what should
inform the decision by an individual to use either the fundamentals or
the technical: "Forex trading is a very volatile. You can lose your
money just within seconds. So, a lot of people are into technical. But I
will prefer the fundamentals. If you have the right software, the right
tools, the fundamental is a little easier. You actually will make more
money in a question of minutes, unlike technical trading where you have
to wait and wait. Again too, depending also on your emotional stability,
what you can take. A lot may not be able to take the pressure of seeing
the market go and come down. There is a lot of pressure. Emotional
stability can also affect the way you react to the market. So, these
things all have a part to play-your discipline, your emotional stability
all have a role to play if you are a technical trader.
"On the other hand, if you are a fundamental trader,
once you have the right tools to trade with…in the fundamental, if there
is no trade, there is no trade. So, you don’t lose, you don’t make
money, if there is trade there is trade."
Risks involved in Forex trading
What type of forex trading one gets involved in, one
thing that is ever present is the risk factor. A lot of risks are
involved. In the technical aspect, sometimes you may have done your
analysis and your analysis are quite alright based on history or other
indices and calculations. Based on that, maybe, one decides to buy. An
incident could happen in any aspect of the world and it will affect the
market. So, if you are a technical trader, when that happens, you may
lose or gain money.
On the other hand, one may be a technical trader and
forget or take cognizance of certain fundamentals, it can ruin your
account.
Oh! Tuyet
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